TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under49c51,008$24,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,014.1146949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over51c29,134$14,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,858.4732251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c16,054$8,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,091.8111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c9,990$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.824,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under70c7,750$5,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.451,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c6,641$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.588,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c4,076$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.083,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c3,490$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.0432152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c3,183$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.3392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under51c2,219$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.182,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c2,216$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.394,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.8168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under67c1,515$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c1,410$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over52c1,160$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over50c895.5$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over46c810$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.629547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over29c756.61$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.964,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under61c664.27$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.137352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c604.34$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.174,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c537$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.138,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c500$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.741,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over23c485.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.434,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over50c460$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c419.06$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under70c389.54$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…e2b1backed Over4c346$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under60c258.42$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4281257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a45…2b4dbacked Over6c210$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10044949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023651.3%121 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c156.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.182,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d7…f0e9backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over52c150.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.117253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.234443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Over52c123.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0227452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over51c117.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…6569backed Over31c113.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over46c107.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under48c102.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3357747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.611535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over51c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.051,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c79.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.322,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under49c76.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0331258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.739761.9%60 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c67.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.489,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.728,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under54c61.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.353,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under54c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2231848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under50c56.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0859749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be0…ca40backed Under69c54.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.158775.9%66 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over51c53.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.271,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Over51c49.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c44.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over29c42.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceba…a705backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over51c37.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9114750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Over50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.539250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Over35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over50c31.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7652852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0297…e67fbacked Under70c29.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.755066%33 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over35c28.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0847446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over50c26.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.422,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6d…aeb3backed Over51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a86…4eebbacked Under66c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.657850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d8…0c1bbacked Under69c20.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.361450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.226940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.