Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafed5317f35ec893082d5e752f8f99012a96d3872b16edb29c4c33d0cd610e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Minnesota Golden Gophers, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 9c | 3,235$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.51 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 14c | 3,050$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.07 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 14c | 1,903$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 15c | 1,700$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8c | 999.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 6c | 996.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8c | 635.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 12c | 559.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 11c | 539.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…cb30backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8c | 356.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 26c | 326.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 22c | 277.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…c11abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 12c | 131.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 18c | 129.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…1a2bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 12c | 103.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x565d…5a48backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 17c | 90.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 14c | 81.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 19c | 68.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinithis page
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 140.5Over won
- Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-15.5)Minnesota Golden Gophers won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-16.5)Minnesota Golden Gophers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.