TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristian

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Birrellof Birrell, Cristian
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Birrell37c6,053$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.4876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Birrell61c3,908$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.718,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cristian64c3,088$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.031,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Birrell47c2,510$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.212,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Cristian45c1,890$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8506937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Cristian63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Cristian63c1,378$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.3710043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Cristian11c1,363$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.938313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Birrell40c1,287$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.017,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Cristian63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75645457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Cristian63c1,158$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.7221959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Cristian44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.7581938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Cristian55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55058639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Cristian54c954.56$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.631,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cristian58c916.93$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.622,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Birrell72c688.52$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.521,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Cristian49c607.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1318651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Cristian39c549.95$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Birrell50c431.15$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.694461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x094d…59f3backed Birrell40c427.73$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.124938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Birrell55c363.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Cristian62c322.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Birrell39c303.8$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7127627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Birrell38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18643042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Cristian58c299.67$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.846944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cristian44c287.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.712,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Cristian58c237.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9510943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Cristian16c202.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6119167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Birrell73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1224055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Cristian49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.55527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Cristian52c190.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9130530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Cristian63c183$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4622236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Cristian57c175.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Cristian63c159.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Cristian37c151.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Cristian58c143$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4229654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eca…9291backed Cristian40c133.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.67922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Birrell58c121.7$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8716150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Cristian49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.821346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Cristian63c117.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7412154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Birrell52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Birrell48c105.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.096,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Cristian62c104.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6128754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Cristian10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Birrell50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Birrell11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Cristian18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Cristian10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Cristian53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb434…2b36backed Cristian68c91.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.42584%21 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Birrell76c87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Cristian60c80.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.325743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc837…2e91backed Cristian62c80.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-32.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Cristian63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Cristian38c78.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Birrell38c56.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Cristian62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Cristian50c56.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0213850.7%70 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed Cristian64c54.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355147.1%24 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6210…4016backed Cristian61c50.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a1…2254backed Birrell38c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.385100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+137.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Cristian75c47.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.725345.3%24 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Birrell54c46.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.291,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Birrell75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0647057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Cristian60c41.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd8…e7d4backed Birrell72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.673080%24 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Cristian66c37.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0212451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e2…9ff7backed Cristian46c37.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3d…ebeabacked Cristian56c36.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410838.9%42 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Birrell44c35.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8325237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Birrell46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Birrell44c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Cristian62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015551.6%80 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f2…772abacked Cristian63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Birrell38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.668430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cristian42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e54…5fdfbacked Cristian44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Cristian57c27.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.929567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Birrell51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669e…035bbacked Cristian71c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7510186.1%87 W · 14 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b54…4143backed Birrell40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Cristian63c22.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2434159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Birrell58c22.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4121949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Birrell60c20.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.322268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cristian63c20.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.886,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.