South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7b6d0ecb8731f51ed2a7bdccda26b16ae123883e1f6fa473409c119056603c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 17c | 15,597$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,945.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 5,100$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 3,113$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.08 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 74c | 2,204$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.67 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 2,096$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 16c | 1,004$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 17c | 962.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.44 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.33 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 747.41$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 553.72$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 527$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.73 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 53c | 486.79$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 18c | 374$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 50c | 300.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Yes | 49c | 290.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 19c | 270$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 71c | 267.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 40c | 245.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 54c | 194.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 43c | 188.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 170$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 17c | 147$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 25c | 134.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 129.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 18c | 120.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 112.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…478fbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 42c | 98.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 50c | 98.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 79c | 96.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Yes | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked No | 42c | 70.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 79c | 69.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 42c | 56.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 56c | 54.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…7c8fbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 47c | 42.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…5b36backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 79c | 34.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 70c | 33.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Yes | 61c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 55c | 19.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.