South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x650e7bc2ebaeb320daecd3e7b8132a615169fdcde61b40972557be54da781537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,706$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 2,743$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.12 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 1,707$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.39 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 38c | 1,040$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.7 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Yes | 60c | 1,016$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 960.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 60c | 661.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 22c | 661$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Yes | 60c | 620.88$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 24c | 596.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 456.05$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 373.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…e2b1backed Yes | 14c | 351.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 4c | 296.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c20…f190backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 48c | 211.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…e62abacked Yes | 60c | 207$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9137…73c1backed No | 40c | 205$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 30c | 200.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…cc50backed No | 40c | 198$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…0ae4backed Yes | 60c | 196$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 183.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…478fbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 27c | 176.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 176.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 59c | 168.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 60c | 168.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Yes | 7c | 162.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 38c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 39c | 129.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 40c | 89.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Yes | 61c | 85.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…0ca4backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 40c | 82.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 78.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 62c | 64.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 35c | 60.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 57c | 53.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 75c | 52.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad5e…a693backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 40.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…d72fbacked No | 49c | 36.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…6829backed Yes | 60c | 32.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 39c | 26.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 47c | 21.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.