South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1edb9e974254ccea2837ff0bc77654a0c9b2a5a14bfe6dcede4f6d8b359791a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,477$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 19c | 1,062$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 30c | 1,015$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.05 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 716.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 354.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 302.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 35c | 284.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 284.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 77c | 187$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 135.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 24c | 103.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Yes | 26c | 97.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 33c | 60.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.