TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Kaja Juvan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raducanuof Raducanu, Juvan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$406,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Juvan48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.9211633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raducanu52c31,637$16,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,185.8715832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raducanu52c24,986$12,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,011.8811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Juvan22c15,892$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.352,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Raducanu61c13,935$8,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,485.1248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raducanu65c12,395$8,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.878,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Juvan14c9,680$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.571,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Juvan33c8,424$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.337,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Raducanu49c8,097$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.697630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Juvan4c7,074$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Raducanu79c6,726$5,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.7735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raducanu63c5,987$3,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.062,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Juvan38c5,940$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.22161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Raducanu60c4,978$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.081,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Raducanu72c4,182$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.6636968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Juvan44c4,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74030645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Juvan23c3,925$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.924055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Raducanu77c3,848$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Raducanu78c3,843$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.444158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Raducanu72c3,448$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.4814250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Raducanu64c3,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.581,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raducanu55c3,124$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.422,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Raducanu45c2,868$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.648040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Juvan24c2,643$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9222641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Juvan38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Raducanu78c2,565$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56518957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Juvan22c2,300$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50611045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked Raducanu44c2,108$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.052055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5891…6aecbacked Juvan18c1,777$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Juvan62c1,562$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.5337540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Raducanu67c1,521$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Juvan22c1,509$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.12,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Juvan20c1,500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30534745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Juvan23c1,489$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4811343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Juvan60c1,434$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.788053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Raducanu52c1,394$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.6738652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Raducanu77c1,360$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7210757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Juvan21c1,355$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4616029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Raducanu66c1,319$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.1499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Juvan6c1,290$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.731050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Juvan23c1,202$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4621338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Raducanu43c1,166$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.2862061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Juvan53c1,008$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9384857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Raducanu51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Juvan49c935.33$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Juvan49c928.95$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.895156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Raducanu64c905.08$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.482,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf285…40f8backed Raducanu56c893.99$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Juvan50c893.75$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.686046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raducanu59c834.04$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.583,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Raducanu59c771.87$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9218663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Raducanu48c731.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.4655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juvan30c683.12$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.446,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Raducanu49c670$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.731,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Juvan37c654.46$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Raducanu42c642.67$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7538739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Juvan40c642.3$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.961546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Raducanu75c640$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Juvan23c635.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2731332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Juvan26c608$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7629654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055d…8686backed Juvan46c592.73$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Juvan50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29016665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Raducanu47c556.1$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.136038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Juvan54c553.93$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Juvan19c545.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.210943.1%47 W · 62 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe527…e595backed Raducanu79c509.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+248.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Juvan23c500$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raducanu76c479$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Juvan3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Juvan33c423.45$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Juvan24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Juvan23c399.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9934842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Juvan50c386$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19398240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Juvan21c379.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Juvan60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Juvan44c322.69$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7227543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Raducanu63c318.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.021,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Juvan16c302.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Raducanu70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Raducanu77c291.29$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2928754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Raducanu71c281.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6126244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d4…045fbacked Juvan9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ee…56e7backed Juvan43c276.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.941030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Juvan60c272.56$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Juvan35c267.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Juvan23c260$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.81,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d14…d039backed Juvan58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Juvan39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juvan48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Juvan45c243.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9384736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Juvan43c235.53$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Juvan61c233.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4672542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Raducanu50c222.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2528952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Raducanu78c221.82$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.87644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab8…2e4ebacked Juvan46c220.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Juvan47c220$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.938445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Juvan60c215$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1297365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Raducanu51c204.45$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.989348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Juvan50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Juvan22c199.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.