Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7abd5cec3d346fa4978e891b4a18f8ac575bf57e56b18954154dc430187b8c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 52c | 30,889$16,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,062.12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 21,502$10,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,181.04 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 9,293$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 526.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 41c | 484.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 52c | 440.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 311.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 310.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 250.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 225.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 190.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 171.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 158.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 38c | 156.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 58c | 151$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Under | 67c | 148.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Over | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Over | 43c | 72.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 64.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 76c | 56.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Under | 51c | 51.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Under | 71c | 49.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 28c | 39.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…39a4backed Under | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 48c | 32.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…3204backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 139.5this page
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State AztecsGrand Canyon Antelopes won
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-8.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.