Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02713eec4ab1b0cb5cf1d1bf5c12516e05cf96a7959c936e76a941a32b6b8b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland State Vikingsof Youngstown State Penguins, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 66c | 6,594$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cleveland State Vikings | 72c | 3,003$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.61 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cleveland State Vikings | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 1,936$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 25c | 1,049$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 55c | 856$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.97 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 669$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 26c | 582.62$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland State Vikings | 39c | 546$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.82 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 514.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 41c | 331.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 24c | 330.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 251.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 250.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 63c | 212.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 179.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Youngstown State Penguins | 54c | 169$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Youngstown State Penguins | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Cleveland State Vikings | 63c | 149$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland State Vikings | 31c | 137$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Youngstown State Penguins | 36c | 134.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7496backed Youngstown State Penguins | 45c | 124.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Cleveland State Vikings | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 68c | 99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cleveland State Vikings | 31c | 86.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Youngstown State Penguins | 71c | 71.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland State Vikings | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 46.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 66c | 40.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 34c | 40.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 76c | 38.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…5ea6backed Youngstown State Penguins | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State Vikingsthis page
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)Cleveland State Vikings won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 155.5Over won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.