Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa1ecb12ed55ccb7cfd67884673667abd8c7021b54efa99a8e72e2d39422965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland State Vikingsof Youngstown State Penguins, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Youngstown State Penguins | 55c | 300,417$165,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,189.83 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,499.99 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 106,724$48,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,698.12 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 7,585$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 5,406$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 5,389$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 3,896$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.99 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 2,316$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.58 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 2,290$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.24 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 1,013$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cleveland State Vikings | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 959$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 724.66$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 558.81$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 53c | 499.27$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 199$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cleveland State Vikings | 48c | 144.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 122.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 101.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…e9cbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 48c | 61.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 48c | 61.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 47.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…b379backed Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)this page
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State VikingsCleveland State Vikings won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 155.5Over won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.