Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82d85c041989ef47f6ec2cb4e910c72009f613ce2ec7e1d256f8d4fe680a1398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 54c | 74,052$39,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,855 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 21,184$9,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,697.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,475 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 48c | 5,535$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.96 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 5,406$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.38 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 2,240$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.25 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 1,824$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.08 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 1,795$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 47c | 1,548$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.84 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Over | 45c | 1,448$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 55c | 900$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 45c | 643.83$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.83 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 600$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 600$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 44c | 498.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.72 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 42c | 399$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.42 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 41c | 378.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 55c | 357.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Over | 44c | 348.82$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 300.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 45c | 254.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 45c | 250$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 44c | 242$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Under | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 105.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 59c | 90.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Over | 46c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…592cbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Over | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 45c | 54.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 48c | 39.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 48c | 39.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Under | 57c | 35.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 32.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 30.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 42c | 28.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 23.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 145.5this page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State BroncosBoise State Broncos won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.