TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Georgia Wolvesof North Florida Ospreys, West Georgia Wolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,508 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9b4…75a0backed West Georgia Wolves61c3,716$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.339244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Florida Ospreys39c3,333$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.872,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Florida Ospreys18c619.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.324,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed West Georgia Wolves62c511.87$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.516346%29 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed North Florida Ospreys40c478.35$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3360949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1369…a213backed West Georgia Wolves62c416.54$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.28988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+56.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked North Florida Ospreys10c360.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8425337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Florida Ospreys5c350.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.571,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Florida Ospreys39c326$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.142,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed North Florida Ospreys39c238.34$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.931,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Florida Ospreys40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Florida Ospreys38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked North Florida Ospreys39c181.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7820452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed North Florida Ospreys9c169$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed West Georgia Wolves61c153.51$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed North Florida Ospreys22c142.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3624951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked West Georgia Wolves60c125.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed North Florida Ospreys24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed North Florida Ospreys40c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4916755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed North Florida Ospreys39c99.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.687561.3%46 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked North Florida Ospreys39c90.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.393342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked North Florida Ospreys39c90.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.399045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed West Georgia Wolves60c79.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.733148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed North Florida Ospreys20c74.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed West Georgia Wolves61c73.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5349849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed North Florida Ospreys39c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed West Georgia Wolves75c51.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.893,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f0…2711backed West Georgia Wolves62c46.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.716162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked North Florida Ospreys39c41.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2420834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked West Georgia Wolves60c37.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed West Georgia Wolves62c31.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1615246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked West Georgia Wolves60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1226550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked West Georgia Wolves60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked West Georgia Wolves60c24.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9248551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed West Georgia Wolves60c24.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.816255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed West Georgia Wolves76c20.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10b…2f6dbacked West Georgia Wolves61c19.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.