TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northern Kentucky Norseof Northern Kentucky Norse, Green Bay Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,667 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Green Bay Phoenix39c5,334$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.912,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Northern Kentucky Norse61c4,979$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.3761652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Green Bay Phoenix41c4,612$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.372,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Northern Kentucky Norse62c4,493$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.241,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northern Kentucky Norse60c2,564$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.411,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Green Bay Phoenix40c2,490$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.85947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c2,113$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.8237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix39c1,685$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Green Bay Phoenix29c1,552$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.853,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Northern Kentucky Norse58c1,457$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.14738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Northern Kentucky Norse61c1,221$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0927450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Green Bay Phoenix39c1,213$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.7455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Green Bay Phoenix42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Green Bay Phoenix43c956.82$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.885,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse74c910.43$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1369…a213backed Northern Kentucky Norse61c886.56$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.76988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+56.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Green Bay Phoenix3c690.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4531837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Green Bay Phoenix39c589.45$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.71,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c581.22$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1725049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse60c495.8$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.322268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Green Bay Phoenix42c397.82$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.081,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Green Bay Phoenix44c396.89$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Green Bay Phoenix39c297.51$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0437246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Northern Kentucky Norse58c292.17$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c290.61$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Green Bay Phoenix16c288.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1818548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c268.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.251,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Green Bay Phoenix57c264.66$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.73938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix38c213.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.195,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Green Bay Phoenix39c208.3$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2416445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Green Bay Phoenix43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Northern Kentucky Norse57c198.28$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2625946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.612147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Green Bay Phoenix17c168.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse59c168.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Northern Kentucky Norse61c160.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.775052%26 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Northern Kentucky Norse54c150.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.469448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Green Bay Phoenix39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Green Bay Phoenix42c139.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7931537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Green Bay Phoenix41c125.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4722544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Green Bay Phoenix30c123.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.342,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Green Bay Phoenix41c120.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5810034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse59c118.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7850745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Green Bay Phoenix38c115.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.865763.2%36 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Northern Kentucky Norse50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse60c99.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8358652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Northern Kentucky Norse68c86.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8425829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Northern Kentucky Norse74c76.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.942,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Green Bay Phoenix50c72.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.470349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Green Bay Phoenix39c70.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0129337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Green Bay Phoenix52c61.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.061,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Green Bay Phoenix42c60.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0233445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Green Bay Phoenix26c47.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Green Bay Phoenix46c44.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Green Bay Phoenix45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Green Bay Phoenix28c38.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Green Bay Phoenix40c37.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0730050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Green Bay Phoenix40c37.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0748551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Green Bay Phoenix40c37.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0724148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Green Bay Phoenix40c37.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0732850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Northern Kentucky Norse58c35.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8961244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Green Bay Phoenix42c33.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9882846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c33.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.223951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Green Bay Phoenix38c32.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2627650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse61c29.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.634947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3383…b7debacked Northern Kentucky Norse60c29.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.711030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa939…0d05backed Northern Kentucky Norse73c28.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c28.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4692246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0129…1b8cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse60c24.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse60c24.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabc2…02f5backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c23.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Northern Kentucky Norse57c21.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4649157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Northern Kentucky Norse51c20.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.257346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Northern Kentucky Norse59c19.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9613845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.