South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c70018799e3ac8b992efb27542760217f8d4b65564516c69d6b19aa0c2facc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 44c | 46,819$20,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,522.11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 24,623$13,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,090.42 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 60c | 6,928$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 6,014$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.28 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 59c | 3,068$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.57 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 2,141$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.36 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 53c | 2,083$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 48c | 1,451$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…a213backed Under | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 838.34$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.66 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 667.04$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 459.05$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 410.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 325.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Over | 55c | 117.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 90.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 55c | 80.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 53c | 59.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 53c | 50.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 53c | 49.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 53c | 46.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…e869backed Under | 70c | 35.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Under | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 71c | 23.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 60c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Under | 57c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.