South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36aef2e0293bf29a2e90252a07fd9b7658dc75bebd48cfc7a83c83fb64ccd202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 51c | 12,660$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,456.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 5,792$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 50c | 5,699$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.31 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 19c | 2,999$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.84 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 56c | 2,248$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 49c | 1,835$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 49c | 1,718$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.37 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 40c | 1,502$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.09 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,405$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 1,182$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.86 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 53c | 990.62$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.49 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 34c | 879.23$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 853.96$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.52 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 832.65$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 758.88$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 606.89$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.72 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 545.58$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 270.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 256.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Over | 54c | 198.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 178.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 151.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…c55fbacked Over | 48c | 144.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 142.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Under | 46c | 100.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Under | 46c | 98.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 63.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 49c | 58.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 43.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 54c | 42.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 49c | 41.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Under | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Under | 52c | 32.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…ea80backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Over | 52c | 29.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 73c | 20.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.