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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Creighton Bluejaysof Creighton Bluejays, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c17,255$8,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,935.9310648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays48c9,478$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights50c9,051$4,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,525.558145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Creighton Bluejays50c5,335$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.548855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Creighton Bluejays49c4,606$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.6627755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1369…a213backed Creighton Bluejays48c2,928$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.55988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+56.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Creighton Bluejays50c2,241$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.054753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Creighton Bluejays49c1,260$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays48c1,206$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Creighton Bluejays49c1,095$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.321,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c901$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.523943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Creighton Bluejays48c805.14$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.5924847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c530.6$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Creighton Bluejays50c523.03$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5424857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Creighton Bluejays49c344.14$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.512065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c264.04$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.943253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Creighton Bluejays49c262.8$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.031,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Creighton Bluejays50c218.05$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0617258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Creighton Bluejays48c199.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.971323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c194.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.011,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.123447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c128.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.012462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c115.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Creighton Bluejays48c112.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5216650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda29…7907backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c109.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.941050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Creighton Bluejays49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4511257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c98.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.148246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c98.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.143655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c98.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1411456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c98.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.147146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c97.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5630152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.567160.6%43 W · 28 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5922250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c91.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Creighton Bluejays48c87.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5927650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c87.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.454961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Creighton Bluejays50c85.36$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.687657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c84.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.789050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c81.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.364052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Creighton Bluejays48c72.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c72.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.382450%12 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Creighton Bluejays50c72.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.012755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c71.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.376654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c59.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Creighton Bluejays49c58.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c56.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.573946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Creighton Bluejays43c53.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.623458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Creighton Bluejays50c53.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b1c…2871backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Creighton Bluejays48c45.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.661,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Creighton Bluejays49c44.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8969350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c44.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.313641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Creighton Bluejays50c44.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c43.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.252,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c42.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Creighton Bluejays49c38.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.784858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c36.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.234753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c36.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.232339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5c…1d38backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Creighton Bluejays49c34.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Creighton Bluejays50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c27.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.832240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c27.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c27.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.833441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.582045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5817446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Creighton Bluejays50c27.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.665855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.853928.2%11 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Creighton Bluejays50c26.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c26.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.733756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c26.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.463151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c25.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.763959%23 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c25.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.767749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Creighton Bluejays50c24.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.133455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Creighton Bluejays48c24.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c23.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacc5…a3c6backed Creighton Bluejays48c21.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9388…ad42backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c21.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.922352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f5…a2e2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights64c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.434,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.