TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Creighton Bluejaysof Creighton Bluejays, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9750…263dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights40c7,883$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.92825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Creighton Bluejays56c3,804$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.991,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c2,306$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.944656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Creighton Bluejays55c2,238$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.293745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Creighton Bluejays54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.092,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Creighton Bluejays53c2,059$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.921,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Creighton Bluejays54c1,736$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.4215858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays52c1,611$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa97…b225backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights60c975.97$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Creighton Bluejays65c682.58$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.127451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays53c612.37$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c525.87$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Creighton Bluejays57c476.65$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.633,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c377.36$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c367.18$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.247258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c324.55$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.783177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3227045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights54c270.02$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.817460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights8c236.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c234.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.125959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c211.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.485457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7622250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c199.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6711456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Creighton Bluejays55c194.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.912254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c191.64$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.114252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c185.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.633655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c181.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.598246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c174.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.84,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights44c160.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays57c160.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.444,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c156.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.061450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c150.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.431050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c149.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.086152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c148.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c146.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5922043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Creighton Bluejays54c146.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5122047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c144.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6927755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Creighton Bluejays50c133.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c132.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.717354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Creighton Bluejays71c128.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.783956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Creighton Bluejays53c127.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c123.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Creighton Bluejays52c111.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6121850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c101.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.697146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c98.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c98.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2437246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Creighton Bluejays56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Creighton Bluejays59c97.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c95.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.056654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c91.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.257749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8b…3d0cbacked Creighton Bluejays54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c86.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.392240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Creighton Bluejays68c78.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c76.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.32450%12 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Creighton Bluejays54c73.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Creighton Bluejays54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c65.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c62.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9330050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c62.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9348551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c59.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c54.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.343441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c54.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.141741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights40c53.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c49.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.442462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a0d…c27bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights40c48.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.282142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c42.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.354,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c39.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c38.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Creighton Bluejays53c38.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.894959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c37.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Creighton Bluejays54c34.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights45c33.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1419454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Creighton Bluejays50c29.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7610543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c27.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c27.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c25.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.571770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Creighton Bluejays61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c24.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.714944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights47c24.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9388…ad42backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights46c24.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45db…68c5backed Creighton Bluejays53c23.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Creighton Bluejays54c22.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.581776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights48c22.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.871533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights51c21.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.163354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Creighton Bluejays53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1311354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights60c17.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.