Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171cd79785abc0b1e5c85192e7505b64fc6206d7782e1f8e2f8032a8fc7d3899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Under | 43c | 26,351$11,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,314.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 13,893$7,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.96 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 6,120$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.52 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 57c | 3,680$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.4 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 56c | 3,002$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 1,057$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.56 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 57c | 350.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 47c | 327.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 58c | 277.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Under | 44c | 167$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 138.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 58c | 134.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 58c | 102.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Over | 57c | 100.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 92.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 88.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 57c | 86.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 63c | 79.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 64.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Over | 57c | 61.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 57c | 56.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 55.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 52c | 52.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over | 57c | 42.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 46c | 42.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Over | 58c | 42.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Over | 57c | 34.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 31.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Over | 57c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 36c | 29.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…a31bbacked Over | 59c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 57c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.