Mls · resolved market
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5e821bb372ca830064bd062f727919af1b7262fd4e02111d51ff732fac5c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,581$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.53 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 79c | 2,540$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.39 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Over | 52c | 1,590$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 1,459$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.13 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 799.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 625.94$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 441.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 439.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 61c | 334$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 61c | 328.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 258.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 198.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7fe2backed Over | 53c | 197.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 185.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 183.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 24c | 165.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 151.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 61c | 133.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 51c | 120.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 68c | 106.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Over | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 58.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 27c | 57.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 27c | 41.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 54c | 37.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 37.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 59c | 29.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Over | 77c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 21.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 49c | 20.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.