TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c41,016$19,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,608.156,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under47c28,700$13,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,124.085246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over54c18,518$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over53c15,999$8,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,559.737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c13,404$6,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,970.119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under48c12,365$5,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,429.683661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over53c9,169$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,859.5719239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.454656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under42c5,468$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.8345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under49c4,080$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.594252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under42c3,264$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.385752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under49c3,057$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.136654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6503953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf312…184dbacked Over54c2,899$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.999153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over57c2,650$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed Under46c2,499$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b6…36debacked Over60c2,497$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c2,300$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.1952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c2,099$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over51c2,031$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.7585748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c1,872$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.924,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c1,864$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.949550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under70c1,711$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.6516753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over55c1,610$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8891145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over54c1,567$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.381118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf092…f999backed Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.0134628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over62c1,412$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.5915060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c1,402$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.971,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over53c1,150$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.514166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3153…1dbcbacked Over54c1,102$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under48c1,046$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.67433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c1,000$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.8450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c995.11$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.182,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Under46c963.92$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c939$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8921253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.233053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over55c908.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8314138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under6c868.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.391910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c859.26$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.491,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over62c803.58$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2215263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over39c773.07$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.6126548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002568%17 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under17c689.43$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2314342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over37c683.78$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over51c588.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over61c577.11$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over52c575.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over33c545.45$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over61c524.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.249053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over45c515$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6725052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24538649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under18c486.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.339035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over48c417.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c415.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1525754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under46c398.01$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5823250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over49c361.37$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over48c330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.429343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c319.31$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4935743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over78c298$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed Under35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked Under49c275.82$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c269.84$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1359444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Over45c248$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under47c246.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6816357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over52c236.35$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.91553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over38c224.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.264146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45a…46adbacked Over55c222.21$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over52c220$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.46058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under46c219.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.752142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over52c203.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10419826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10260%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a8…6b03backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over41c194.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.815313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over52c189.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under17c188.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7814845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.