Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf9b5897a7049b641f4747c942d1e685bc40e32459d151ff45a1792bdc451b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 3,676$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.48 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 2,380$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.1 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 985.72$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.25 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 904.75$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.11 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 46c | 812.48$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 49c | 551.86$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 37c | 530.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 508.68$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 11c | 435.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 51c | 321.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 26c | 311.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +280%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 10c | 305.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.08 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 60c | 297.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 10c | 293.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 282.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 60c | 250.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 7c | 192.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +399.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 10c | 188.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dff…6238backed Under | 63c | 171.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 45c | 145.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 65c | 140.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 64c | 140.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 63c | 92.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 36c | 83.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 16c | 78.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 75.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 41c | 68.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Under | 33c | 61.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 65c | 43.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…b2a2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 52c | 23.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 45c | 23.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Under | 58c | 21.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Under | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.