Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd192039f8f158760870c5c39fe15c370a26f217383fa7120ed01e38899cf9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $589,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 279,548$154,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,350.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 206,528$109,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,460.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 194,957$91,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,327.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 173,920$77,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,525.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 62,328$29,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,324.04 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 55,000$25,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,850 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 10,700$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 9,579$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.57 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 7,841$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.01 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 5,510$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.71 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 52c | 4,701$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 48c | 4,666$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 47c | 4,587$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 2,577$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.37 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 45c | 1,978$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,758$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.54 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 1,665$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 56c | 883.83$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.03 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 49c | 561.33$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 47c | 554.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 529.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 52c | 479.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 46c | 397.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 53c | 349.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Under | 74c | 337.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 43c | 288$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 47c | 276$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 50c | 273.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 268.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 250.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 46c | 238.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 46c | 232.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 225.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Under | 49c | 193.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 53c | 187.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8653…d687backed Over | 54c | 175.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 46c | 166.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 162.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 53c | 141.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Over | 56c | 135$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 45c | 130.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Over | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 46c | 121.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 66c | 121.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Under | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 16c | 110.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Under | 69c | 110.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 52c | 95.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 54c | 92.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Over | 54c | 91.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Under | 46c | 90.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 55c | 81.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Over | 31c | 81.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 52c | 76.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…5a75backed Over | 51c | 68.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Under | 46c | 65.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Over | 51c | 63.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 52c | 62.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Over | 51c | 62.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…8ee7backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 58.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.