Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b370e6757cd3df79f15c625524112dd9bfaf393b55608d4fa08e33fe875d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 67c | 813.57$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 651.59$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.38 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 65c | 599.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 515.9$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.33 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 317.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 298.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 39c | 245.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 49c | 224.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 39c | 215.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 194.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 184.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 49c | 121.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 97.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 33c | 96.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 95.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…210ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 65c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 62c | 68.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 66c | 60.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…6c2dbacked Yes | 65c | 41.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 35c | 40.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 55c | 36.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Yes | 53c | 32.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Yes | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…d998backed Yes | 66c | 30.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 63c | 24.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 66c | 24.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.