Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0721a3db35efd22550b5bb90ffa64e1da611b5d4ed9352f9f617f58943449b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 41c | 6,100$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.97 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 58c | 2,805$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.13 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 2,221$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 826$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 29c | 799.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 43c | 476.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 26c | 381.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Under | 57c | 290.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 80c | 249.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 237.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 213.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 212.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 30c | 186.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 59c | 120.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 111.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 13c | 80.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 73c | 60.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 59c | 58.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Under | 63c | 47.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 58c | 34.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 37c | 30.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 42c | 30.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 58c | 22.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.