Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafa931b5be0065dcc6ddafdc47123cc803f28f76833371ce53404f2f0441fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 43c | 7,100$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,786$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 59c | 3,932$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.97 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 3,000$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.59 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed Under | 60c | 2,883$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 1,226$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.81 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 1,225$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.61 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 47c | 1,148$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 868.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 70c | 726.36$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 57c | 716.65$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed Under | 62c | 683.75$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 672.15$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.55 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 57c | 664$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 540.4$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.1 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 530.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 477.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 64c | 442.24$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Under | 59c | 424.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 371$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.42 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 49c | 368.92$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Under | 37c | 268.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Over | 51c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 48c | 209.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 167.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 63c | 158.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…782dbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Under | 80c | 137.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 123.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 113.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 57c | 66.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 53.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 51c | 45.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…ae0dbacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 35.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 30c | 34.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +270.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 48c | 34.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 67c | 33.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 37c | 31.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 57c | 30.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 27.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.