Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc09f27393ab810661e77f5bc958e5824aa03b315b8ed689056959dc2d580c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 7,168$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.48 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 72c | 3,758$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 14c | 2,340$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.79 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 29c | 1,584$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.23 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 19c | 1,205$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 1,182$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 79c | 1,033$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 26c | 873.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 412.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 289.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 269.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 74c | 266.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 22c | 228.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 46c | 218.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 25c | 211.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 152.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 135.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 67c | 105.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 76c | 88.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 17c | 87.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 18c | 75.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 77c | 70.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…fa88backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 44.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…6341backed Over | 68c | 34.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Under | 33c | 30.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…26d9backed Over | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.