Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1115debbc286937e113d95df1888560c3e6784caeeac16e45aacf3b6a6be8f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Team WE, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Team WE | 41c | 16,000$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,560 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team WE | 42c | 10,189$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.7 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 8,996$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.22 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team WE | 40c | 4,945$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.77 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 3,407$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Team WE | 40c | 3,284$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.05 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 2,959$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.41 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 2,623$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.12 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 2,560$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 1,940$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.66 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 1,840$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.79 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team WE | 45c | 1,362$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.13 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team WE | 42c | 1,295$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.93 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 1,201$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.42 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 999$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 851.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.15 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 842.76$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.24 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…f916backed Team WE | 41c | 590.71$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 520.49$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Team WE | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team WE | 42c | 485.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 436$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Team WE | 40c | 414.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 389.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 372.64$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team WE | 42c | 349.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Team WE | 39c | 333.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team WE | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…6049backed Team WE | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 297.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Team WE | 40c | 252.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…18babacked Team WE | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team WE | 40c | 228.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Team WE | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,444 | 13.2%191 W · 1,253 L | -110.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Team WE | 36c | 158.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 403 | 37.7%152 W · 251 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 66c | 151.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Team WE | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team WE | 41c | 142.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Team WE | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed Team WE | 39c | 126.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team WE | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team WE | 36c | 105.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Team WE | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Team WE | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team WE | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Team WE | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Team WE | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Team WE | 42c | 88.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…9bd5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Team WE | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Team WE | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb62d…c8ccbacked Team WE | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 364 | 54.4%198 W · 166 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Team WE | 39c | 69.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8453backed Team WE | 43c | 67.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Team WE | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Team WE | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Team WE | 42c | 57.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Team WE | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Team WE | 54c | 55.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Team WE | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team WE | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Team WE | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…abfabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 46.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team WE | 39c | 42.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed Team WE | 39c | 39.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team WE | 40c | 39.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 306 | 66.3%203 W · 103 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Team WE | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Team WE | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Team WE | 40c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team WE | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.