Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x574410fa413c0f8c17262ecd2bfcaea4d150bd42ae2cb1fa2e72c5e2bc689281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 52c | 1,376$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.68 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 1,134$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.14 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 36c | 694.9$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 63c | 679.65$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 584.16$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.89 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 26c | 382.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 53c | 374.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…5e3dbacked Under | 65c | 239.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 53c | 164.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Under | 55c | 156.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 80c | 147.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…3193backed Under | 55c | 130.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 64c | 119.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 34c | 117.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Over | 46c | 114.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 45c | 107.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 47c | 105.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 55c | 86.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88f…434dbacked Under | 65c | 72.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 74c | 69.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…77aabacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 44c | 62.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 53c | 59.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 54.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 49.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 45c | 49.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 35c | 45.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 43.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 39c | 35.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 54c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.