Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x222f98de2a15f629d45d61be7fc4809073b8e2b6a75820fa01651b6879087d0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Habibis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47de…b677backed Habibis | 1c | 12,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 6,162$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.98 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 3,392$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.09 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Habibis | 25c | 3,089$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Habibis | 24c | 2,519$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.02 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Habibis | 25c | 2,243$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.68 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Habibis | 18c | 2,196$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Habibis | 3c | 2,112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Habibis | 19c | 2,020$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 1,991$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.21 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Habibis | 16c | 1,742$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 1,207$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Habibis | 27c | 1,161$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilbirs eSports | 80c | 1,107$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 975.1$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 879.3$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Habibis | 28c | 743.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Habibis | 25c | 679.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Habibis | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 556.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Habibis | 19c | 538.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Habibis | 29c | 514.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Habibis | 10c | 502.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 500$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 499.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 468.32$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Habibis | 23c | 405.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Habibis | 25c | 374.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Habibis | 38c | 348$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Habibis | 24c | 321.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 304.03$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Habibis | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Habibis | 28c | 285$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Habibis | 10c | 270$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 266.21$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Habibis | 30c | 236$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…8677backed Habibis | 16c | 223.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Habibis | 29c | 222.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Habibis | 13c | 208.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Habibis | 25c | 189.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Habibis | 28c | 176.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Habibis | 27c | 175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Habibis | 27c | 173.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Habibis | 28c | 171.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 159.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Habibis | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Habibis | 32c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 130.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 130$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Habibis | 26c | 125.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Habibis | 28c | 111.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…a0c7backed Habibis | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Habibis | 29c | 104.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Habibis | 23c | 102.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Habibis | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Habibis | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…376fbacked Habibis | 22c | 91.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 86.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 76.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Habibis | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Habibis | 17c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked Habibis | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Habibis | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Habibis | 19c | 70.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Habibis | 31c | 64.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 60.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Habibis | 30c | 49.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 42.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 40.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 39.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Habibis | 30c | 38.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 32.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 30.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 17.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group BIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.