MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405ad8b0b07bc4296631721c78e94677f65e6f2b2ebd1d550b0e25894752fcff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Texas Rangers, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 183,965$95,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,419.78 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 150,251$50,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,348.19 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 149,999$79,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,166.19 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 133,062$62,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,539.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 96,300$8,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,521.89 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 28,266$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 23,748$11,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,379.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Texas Rangers | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 18,582$9,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,733.62 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 16,202$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 16,162$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,101.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Texas Rangers | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 11,077$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 10,360$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.91 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 9,699$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 7,592$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 5,729$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 5,558$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.63 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.4 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 4,222$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.56 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 4,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 3,208$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.24 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 2,715$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 2,558$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.83 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,078$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.12 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 2,070$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.9 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,699$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.25 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,529$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,452$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.72 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,397$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,254$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,213$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,162$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,082$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.54 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.51 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,008$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.66 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,003$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.35 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 999.98$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 999.26$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.18 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 986.19$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.65 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 980.26$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.44 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Texas Rangers | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 20c | 917.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 869.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 811.77$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 800.32$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 643.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 612.31$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.06 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 606.96$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 599.16$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.92 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 583$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 576.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.19 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 572.97$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 564.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 538.25$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 511.16$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 510.41$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 478.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.29 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 451.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 422.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 393.17$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 393.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 382.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Texas Rangers | 19c | 360.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 357.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 332$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 321.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 305.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 294.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 288.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 275$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 274$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 259.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 254.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 240.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 221.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.