TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes49c85,613$41,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,757.461,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c54,810$32,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,541.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed No51c54,481$27,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,785.222931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No51c30,600$15,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,605.916053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c26,144$12,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,698.342,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,749.828046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c24,924$7,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,883.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes54c15,182$8,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,955.8118047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c13,104$6,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,707.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c11,963$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,123.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c11,345$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No1c10,101$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No51c10,080$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.818848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No50c8,522$4,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.828057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7101,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes51c6,929$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.889446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes48c5,086$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.451,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No37c4,760$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.3435034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c4,208$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes49c4,208$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.082,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.675042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c4,122$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.512,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes49c3,294$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9386452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe681…d336backed Yes50c3,279$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No3c3,254$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes47c2,942$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.4940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No51c2,900$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c2,677$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.51,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes49c2,300$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1731,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.336526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x028a…f485backed Yes78c2,054$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.194050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No50c2,010$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0059150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes50c1,983$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.3922749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes54c1,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.4112428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No28c1,855$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No51c1,797$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.053,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No10c1,646$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8817223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No3c1,379$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.571,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed No30c1,343$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21c…1a43backed Yes66c1,310$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.558530.6%26 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db7…5e5abacked Yes48c1,288$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.682147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes74c1,241$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.2726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked No26c1,025$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.225418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.418647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Yes54c1,002$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.858247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b9…a053backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd9…077cbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9921957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No51c948.43$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed No51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes58c795.79$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33125643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes54c775.17$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.751,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes49c760.71$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No20c655.89$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9531945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No52c650$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3381,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2417345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.247546.7%35 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.243933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Yes47c608.51$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.512941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No51c600.85$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.441,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Yes51c582.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.698453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cd…7565backed No38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes52c522.52$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.391,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No34c520.88$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No28c499.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes53c493$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7113234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes63c481$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.979440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Yes49c471.43$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.435135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes48c404.17$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.179330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No20c395$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes60c391.58$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6322846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes52c383.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4932145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed No4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Yes48c358.33$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3325937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes78c357.24$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3942043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129e…78cfbacked No51c340$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes62c328.68$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4621050%105 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…76abbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.463560%21 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Yes73c315$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.051782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.524344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No43c312$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.162,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1272424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34c8…49bcbacked No37c299.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127123.9%17 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bf…f980backed Yes73c292.39$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.211538.3%44 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes54c290.8$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes74c278.73$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2924443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7320447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13045248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…0187backed No51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.48350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2299…8f6abacked Yes67c224.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.421957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes47c213$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.897038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.