Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefa099549b0698808ff917aa8ea5444ff3dfeeff593266d44dcdd08fd8def9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 35,120$22,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,853.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 25,212$12,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,780.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 31c | 16,502$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 71c | 14,164$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.59 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 35c | 10,045$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.32 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 31c | 9,677$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 73c | 7,538$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 7,496$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.46 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 6,924$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 5,919$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 44c | 5,405$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.05 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 30c | 4,934$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 58c | 4,116$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.49 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 4,099$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.58 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 3,744$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.61 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,861$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.19 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 31c | 2,858$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.92 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 2,803$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.34 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 2,544$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…0259backed Yes | 78c | 2,409$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 62c | 2,343$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.93 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 2,302$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.52 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 2,073$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 70c | 1,767$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.76 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 37c | 1,659$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.83 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 75c | 1,624$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 56c | 1,442$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.02 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,366$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.41 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 70c | 1,344$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.11 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,342$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 69c | 1,318$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.15 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 1,246$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.7 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…af78backed Yes | 17c | 1,199$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.44 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 67c | 1,198$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 1,147$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.01 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 1,027$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.23 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 39c | 909.42$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.8 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 865$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed Yes | 19c | 800.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 69c | 799.46$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Yes | 37c | 789$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 55c | 729.97$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.64 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 77c | 703$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 17c | 700$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 73c | 642.29$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.37 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 57c | 632$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.03 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed Yes | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Yes | 21c | 577.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 38c | 573.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 31c | 561.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 8c | 544$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 68c | 512$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 68c | 498.14$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 419.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 392$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 69c | 384$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 333.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 31c | 321.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 21c | 321.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 67c | 317.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…2515backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 40c | 307.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…2313backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 68c | 299.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 291$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 66c | 259.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 48c | 256.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 239.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…0184backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 201.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 12c | 185.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?Yes won
- Sweden leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.