Sweden leading at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e03ef5e6159052f55291c0e4fcd5a9fec5bccf31516e05ec49cc1f79767326

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $158,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,189 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	12c	16,399$1,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,893.02	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	8,150$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes	8c	6,577$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.1	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	6c	4,378$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.65	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	8c	2,644$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.59	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Yes	10c	2,104$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	9c	1,641$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.66	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	10c	1,193$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.3	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Yes	11c	1,073$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Yes	7c	1,050$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	84	32.1%27 W · 57 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…93d2backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	4c	875.63$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	12c	858.78$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.17	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	4c	830.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	11c	818.18$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf91…4c43backed Yes	8c	748.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes	10c	699.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…1a1bbacked Yes	11c	667.45$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.42	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b5…61f9backed Yes	7c	639.85$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes	5c	624.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	137	21.9%30 W · 107 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed Yes	7c	571.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Yes	2c	571.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	52	3.8%2 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes	6c	553.57$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+111.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a06…c5b8backed Yes	9c	544.56$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.01	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Yes	10c	519.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes	6c	494.61$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec2…4035backed Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes	3c	444$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	90	17.8%16 W · 74 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba31…836dbacked Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	44%51 W · 65 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	10c	389.79$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	112	33.9%38 W · 74 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	9c	369.13$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	8c	310.85$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e0…4e30backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f8…2515backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5136…4525backed Yes	10c	229.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	6c	215$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	174	32.8%57 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	10c	204.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd050…d9fdbacked Yes	10c	204.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1862…36bcbacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8d…2218backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Yes	10c	177.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	235	40.9%96 W · 139 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dff…2916backed Yes	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf180…3b6cbacked Yes	6c	156.88$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	94	27.7%26 W · 68 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c5…9d0dbacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Yes	13c	149.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e5…dd13backed Yes	11c	125$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd08…04fabacked Yes	12c	121$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes	11c	120$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	294	30.3%89 W · 205 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sweden leading at halftime?this page
France leading at halftime?Yes won
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sweden leading at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event