MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa944601a6e0f66f0404a86cb15ac1bc7043e24068d2269a0626f8cd93817d1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof San Diego Padres, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 66,369$22,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,768.66 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 31,350$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 20,391$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.58 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 19,818$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.51 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 19,333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 18,733$14,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.85 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 15,661$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.19 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 14,543$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.71 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 10,375$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,938.55 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 9,606$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.55 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 6,870$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 7c | 5,408$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 5,286$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.52 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 5,222$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 14c | 5,000$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.86 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 5,000$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 5,000$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.98 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 3,835$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.35 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 3,450$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 3,167$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.79 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,973$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,558$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.37 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 2,508$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 2,390$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.03 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…6ffebacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 2,267$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 1,976$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.35 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,902$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.33 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,771$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.27 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,726$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,666$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.68 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,609$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.28 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,513$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.94 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 1,450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 1,270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.78 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,101$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.63 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 1,067$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 1,031$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,029$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.61 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,025$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,000$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 999.96$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 856.72$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.18 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 732.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 718.38$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 700$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 696.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 663.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 569.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 486.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 441.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 398.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 371.63$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 361$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 335$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 323.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 319.59$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 288.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 273.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 260$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 253$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 240.66$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 223.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 197.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 190.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 185.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 148.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 143.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 133.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 127.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 126.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 125.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 125.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 120.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 112.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 112.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 246 | 50.4%124 W · 122 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 111.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 108.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c2abbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 107.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 107.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 105.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Chicago Cubs | 80c | 100.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…a0c7backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 16.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 18.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 19.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.