TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baltimore Oriolesof Chicago White Sox, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles54c44,372$23,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,455.8310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago White Sox50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00026056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles58c31,797$18,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,354.9550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox41c23,455$9,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,683.93,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox42c18,517$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles49c15,506$7,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,906.34,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Chicago White Sox16c15,452$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.96220%0 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles59c12,934$7,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.562,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles54c10,956$5,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.588,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago White Sox48c10,206$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,885.4123255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Baltimore Orioles62c10,115$6,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.8221242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox43c7,753$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.062,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Chicago White Sox42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox27c5,637$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.7711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles53c5,507$2,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.5844749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles67c5,420$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.1995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles76c5,017$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.9882636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Chicago White Sox50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50015659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago White Sox0c4,152$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.768762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles59c4,100$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68177053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago White Sox50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago White Sox1c3,383$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8337032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles46c3,303$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.511,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox42c3,202$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.364,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox43c3,182$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.652,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Baltimore Orioles57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago White Sox50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012759.1%75 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles55c2,897$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.6175248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles56c2,728$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.341,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox41c2,435$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.226,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Chicago White Sox42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox41c2,290$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.611,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Chicago White Sox1c2,192$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.085852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfd…379cbacked Chicago White Sox9c2,148$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Chicago White Sox34c2,059$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70012640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox42c1,996$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.333,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox42c1,879$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.652,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Chicago White Sox44c1,744$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.4524651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles43c1,587$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.594,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles60c1,464$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.544,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox41c1,162$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.938,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles57c1,111$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7386653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles50c1,102$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6979442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles57c1,056$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.7934756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox58c1,001$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.465,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Chicago White Sox42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Baltimore Orioles58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42023758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Baltimore Orioles76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24026618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox42c892.85$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37594549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago White Sox45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Chicago White Sox43c886.05$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38121347.9%102 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Baltimore Orioles57c870$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.136048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles62c836.95$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Baltimore Orioles76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19217417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Chicago White Sox50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles52c798$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.351,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Chicago White Sox41c749.98$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4944750.6%226 W · 221 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago White Sox45c740$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33315447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Chicago White Sox43c731.16$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8525351.8%131 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago White Sox48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles57c721$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee2…e88fbacked Chicago White Sox51c715$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.556643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Chicago White Sox14c702.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9361948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5220…96ddbacked Chicago White Sox42c700.52$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.223743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Baltimore Orioles59c684.3$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3837451.3%192 W · 182 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x526b…5269backed Chicago White Sox40c682.37$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27311423.7%27 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox43c679.55$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.211,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Baltimore Orioles69c650.1$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9636759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles80c591.82$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4257758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox41c573.75$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.241,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Chicago White Sox42c572.8$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3354945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Baltimore Orioles57c551.5$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0912143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Baltimore Orioles59c508.12$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0325950.2%130 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles49c485.91$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.446,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Baltimore Orioles56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2921354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles66c444.58$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.881,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Baltimore Orioles59c436$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7655653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox42c435.62$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.162,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox44c424.98$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.991,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Chicago White Sox32c374.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9970450.1%353 W · 351 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Chicago White Sox43c374.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5851545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Chicago White Sox50c373.95$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18615848.1%76 W · 82 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Baltimore Orioles57c368.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.421,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Chicago White Sox43c348$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6437944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Baltimore Orioles75c326.58$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1655758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Baltimore Orioles51c326$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Baltimore Orioles59c304.55$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.877447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Baltimore Orioles61c299.1$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1334658.1%201 W · 145 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles78c273.29$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.624,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox42c260$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Baltimore Orioles76c243$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9540043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago White Sox43c241.05$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8492046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Chicago White Sox42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Baltimore Orioles58c234$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2891749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox41c229.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.192,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Chicago White Sox53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48a4…8c2ebacked Chicago White Sox44c222.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.028043.8%35 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago White Sox16c216.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.831,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Chicago White Sox44c214.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.291,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.