MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3448d58b4a3f44e47de1b4cc9674961c88e4481b4a2ea4482980449c950c9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Chicago White Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $555,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 77,777$40,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,332.91 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.87 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 45,000$15,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,149.94 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 27,762$14,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,603.26 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 25,028$12,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,014.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 22,920$16,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,585.37 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 20,423$10,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,415.57 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 15,719$6,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,879.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 15,557$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.62 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 13,350$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,874.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,948$5,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.52 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…c8b7backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 10,011$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 9,031$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.99 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago White Sox | 73c | 7,243$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.41 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 6,417$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 78c | 6,177$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.84 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 5,795$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 4,944$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.44 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 4,754$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 3,873$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.06 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 3,707$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.41 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 3,213$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.45 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,982$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.8 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,220$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.25 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,183$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,110$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,921$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,836$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.85 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,714$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.41 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,561$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.19 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 1,557$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.54 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,539$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.57 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,250$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.49 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,197$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,081$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,046$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.08 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Chicago White Sox | 4c | 1,036$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.51 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 1,030$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 983.72$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.21 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 974$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 944$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 928.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.45 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 922.71$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 919.74$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 897.54$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.73 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 842.78$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.39 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 773.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.24 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 766.96$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.48 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 752.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.82 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 721.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 686.86$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.43 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 682.37$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.63 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 662.35$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 653.09$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.55 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 575.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.38 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 569.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Chicago White Sox | 73c | 564.9$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…1d94backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 526.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 526.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 509.14$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 490.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 484.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…5525backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 472.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…6706backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 452.38$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 14c | 440.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 434$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 431.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 408.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 394.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 374.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.39 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 373.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 355.37$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 354.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 353$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.