MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9069a169ab72e682f8e739ea72da280460108084f3bab27d09d96ceab3707984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Chicago White Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 3,842$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 3,498$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.06 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 3,460$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.14 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 3,429$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 1,055$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,034$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 938.65$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 715.9$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 689$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 672.11$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 554.36$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 488.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 407$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 353$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 339.66$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 310.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Chicago White Sox | 35c | 285.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 183.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago White Sox | 72c | 172.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 172.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 158.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 153.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 118$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Chicago White Sox | 35c | 115.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 107.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 103.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 93.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 92.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 91.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 79.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 66.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 60.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 59.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 57.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 46.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 32.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 30.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 29.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…6468backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…f8b1backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.