MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea139b3dcf009b9c56495bbe1dc64bae713c630db2225842d27f83eebd88a300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 50c | 36,529$18,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,264.52 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 31,529$15,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,764.75 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 10,273$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.01 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 10,175$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.37 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 56c | 10,031$5,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.09 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 54c | 6,226$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.68 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 6,186$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 5,543$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.5 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 50c | 4,849$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.44 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 3,864$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.17 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 50c | 3,501$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.5 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 62c | 2,828$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.44 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 2,244$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,809$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.78 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 49c | 1,618$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.95 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,511$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.26 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…da0bbacked Under | 50c | 1,121$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 1,004$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.64 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 646.39$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.62 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 509.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 365$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Under | 41c | 289.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 52c | 288.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 71c | 235.8$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 15c | 215.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 199.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 31c | 198.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 31c | 198.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 196.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 44c | 153.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 112.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 61c | 112.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 22c | 108.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Over | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 44c | 87.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 87.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 86.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 23c | 86.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 60c | 85.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 36c | 84.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 49c | 71.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…62f1backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Over | 69c | 64.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 50c | 50.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 50.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 52c | 49.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Over | 40c | 47.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 30c | 42.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 56c | 41.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 38.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b1…bf04backed Under | 48c | 37.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Over | 40c | 35.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 52c | 34.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed Under | 51c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…9871backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 29.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 46c | 22.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…9986backed Over | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 20.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 61c | 20.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.