TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over50c36,529$18,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,264.5248148.6%234 W · 247 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under50c31,529$15,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,764.752,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over45c10,273$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,678.014,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c10,175$5,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,481.3711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over56c10,031$5,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.0949051%250 W · 240 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under54c6,226$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.681,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c6,186$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.154,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over50c5,543$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under50c4,849$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.4433554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c3,864$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.178,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over50c3,501$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.588349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under62c2,828$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.4417354.9%95 W · 78 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over50c2,244$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1222,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7866250.2%332 W · 330 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c1,809$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.7812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over49c1,618$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.951,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,511$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.266,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085e…da0bbacked Under50c1,121$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c1,024$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under50c1,004$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.642,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010747.7%51 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under49c715$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3527449.3%135 W · 139 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c646.39$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009250%46 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c509.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.773,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under49c365$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.132,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Under41c289.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.672450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under52c288.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6452228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under51c245$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9517553.7%94 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over71c235.8$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.565,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under15c215.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8888046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under49c199.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.981,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under31c198.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2539953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under31c198.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2539051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c196.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.629,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over44c153.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.754,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over50c130$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Under49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2524749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over49c112.87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.923,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Under61c112.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.613161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under22c108.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8879555.6%442 W · 353 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052045.2%235 W · 285 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4939440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Over48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7519154.5%104 W · 87 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over44c87.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2734443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c87.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.791,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under57c86.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7676558%444 W · 321 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under23c86.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.286,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under60c85.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over36c84.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3690446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.641236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.678550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under49c71.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8137052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8fd…62f1backed Under50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…b898backed Over69c64.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.823946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under50c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7267444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.240446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307766.2%51 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under50c50.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3814644.5%65 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over51c50.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.871,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,82854.1%989 W · 839 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2622448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under52c49.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.812541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Over40c47.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.267334.2%25 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under30c42.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.681,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under56c41.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2345358.7%266 W · 187 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207050%35 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over50c39.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.081,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under52c38.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.262,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Under50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b1…bf04backed Under48c37.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa444…7c8bbacked Over40c35.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.323225%8 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1539250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under52c34.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0825448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…8353backed Under51c32.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.472356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under46c29.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.725,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under54c27.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under46c22.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4690669.9%633 W · 273 L+94.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x43cc…9986backed Over50c22.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c20.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.528,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Under61c20.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3719756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.