TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Yakult Brothers, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming61c11,698$7,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.651,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming53c4,512$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.0688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Vici Gaming71c4,047$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.6312557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming62c4,025$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.7631248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Yakult Brothers29c3,947$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.6341056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming74c3,624$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.6853764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming63c3,100$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.9931055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Vici Gaming65c2,764$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8719148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Yakult Brothers32c2,760$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.6945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers36c2,392$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.6695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers37c2,175$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.6135737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yakult Brothers47c2,136$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Yakult Brothers37c2,073$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7678447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Vici Gaming73c1,902$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0135960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yakult Brothers38c1,887$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.1586659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Yakult Brothers28c1,804$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.5154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Yakult Brothers35c1,728$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakult Brothers23c1,600$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.221,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers29c1,543$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.942,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd4…0c98backed Yakult Brothers47c1,539$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.534470.5%31 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Yakult Brothers43c1,497$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.4421264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Yakult Brothers38c1,496$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2360251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Yakult Brothers11c1,250$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers36c1,115$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming63c1,112$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4258356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ed…41b2backed Vici Gaming67c1,111$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.636764.2%43 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yakult Brothers2c1,050$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Yakult Brothers47c1,042$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Vici Gaming65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35019338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Vici Gaming75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25050850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Yakult Brothers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Yakult Brothers37c918.49$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.556440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Vici Gaming55c910.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.686541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Vici Gaming63c896.77$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8448053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Vici Gaming74c868.12$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9817948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Yakult Brothers33c807.42$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4510741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Yakult Brothers26c769.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.281,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a9…18a3backed Vici Gaming57c767.46$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.612948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Yakult Brothers37c754.17$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1312740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yakult Brothers36c688.4$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.341,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Yakult Brothers37c686.49$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Yakult Brothers35c677$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.558046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers27c642.24$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.211,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Yakult Brothers25c638$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2217443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Yakult Brothers39c636.07$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0760646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming56c626.64$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4985851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabcc…10b4backed Vici Gaming66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Yakult Brothers36c605$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa109…f159backed Yakult Brothers5c603$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yakult Brothers21c602.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.31,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yakult Brothers26c559.75$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2934041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yakult Brothers27c558.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed Yakult Brothers37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028846.5%134 W · 154 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yakult Brothers40c521.02$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.019344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…dba7backed Yakult Brothers32c520.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Yakult Brothers39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yakult Brothers32c501.58$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4655751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Yakult Brothers45c499.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4965863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Yakult Brothers32c497.12$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.669855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed5a…656cbacked Vici Gaming61c492.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Yakult Brothers38c476.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2520233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Yakult Brothers15c460.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0722031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Vici Gaming77c456.19$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6433549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Yakult Brothers44c450.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Vici Gaming63c436.81$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8961449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc6…13c4backed Yakult Brothers35c427.84$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14811449.1%56 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers33c424.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yakult Brothers35c417.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0840442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcb…50fcbacked Yakult Brothers21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.772948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9632756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6348054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Yakult Brothers31c382.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4740534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked Vici Gaming56c374.09$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers41c339.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Yakult Brothers19c326.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5616139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Vici Gaming63c318.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed Yakult Brothers21c304.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512132.2%39 W · 82 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Yakult Brothers33c303.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa851…4dedbacked Vici Gaming56c302.74$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.682835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Vici Gaming72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8437655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yakult Brothers10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2996245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9973743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers25c298.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.271,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yakult Brothers39c282.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Yakult Brothers37c276.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.264452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Vici Gaming65c276.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Vici Gaming55c269.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.425956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yakult Brothers45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Yakult Brothers47c262.55$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Yakult Brothers39c260.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7720442.2%86 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yakult Brothers34c260$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.413145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba3…3d9bbacked Yakult Brothers40c256$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Yakult Brothers36c252.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9172035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Yakult Brothers37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.541864.1%268 W · 150 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Vici Gaming62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9532951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Yakult Brothers13c250$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3123736.7%87 W · 150 L-17.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Yakult Brothers30c225$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5762841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Yakult Brothers28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Yakult Brothers16c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212832%41 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yakult Brothers26c193.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.