Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3c6f04c25f3b9350333953eaefedb1d3a1dac493db92474bd6f3d3c0666dd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 22,077$10,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,965.87 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 9,218$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 2,622$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.08 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Vici Gaming | 10c | 2,251$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.04 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.99 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 1,718$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.15 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,468$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.51 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.08 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 1,398$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.75 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 1,358$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 1,304$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.46 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 1,296$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.48 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,271$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.68 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,214$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.13 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 1,208$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.58 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,014$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.7 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 1,012$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.31 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 990.89$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 946.01$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.01 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 730.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.62 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 714$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 677$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 614.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.95 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 612.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.36 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Yakult Brothers | 71c | 589.6$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 573.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.33 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 556.29$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 517.86$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.86 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 506.96$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.43 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 499.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.72 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 487.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Yakult Brothers | 29c | 472.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.82 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 465.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 461.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 454$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.18 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 436.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 414.17$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 406.39$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 388.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.43 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 381.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 365.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 322.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yakult Brothers | 63c | 317.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 299.84$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 283.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.61 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 269.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 234.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…acafbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Vici Gaming | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 195.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 190.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 184.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 175$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…dba7backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 169.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…656cbacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 154.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 150.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 139.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 135$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 128.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 125.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 122.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 114.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…6692backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 71.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 67.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 61.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 60.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 56.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 55.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…216bbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 52.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 51.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 50.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…a420backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 47.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 46.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 42.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)Yakult Brothers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.