Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee6b43151260fc330dd168385b5c4de155e15fe571fe93584b0ec8542e21d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Team Refuser
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Refuser | 57c | 12,011$6,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.14 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Team Refuser | 57c | 5,485$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 4,895$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.8 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 3,619$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.54 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 3,389$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.03 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Refuser | 37c | 2,412$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.77 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 2,125$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.37 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Team Refuser | 1c | 2,013$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,005$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.38 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Team Refuser | 7c | 1,884$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,864$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.51 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Team Refuser | 45c | 1,578$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.11 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Refuser | 62c | 1,307$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.54 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Refuser | 64c | 1,194$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.92 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 1,061$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.94 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Refuser | 6c | 1,001$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 990.84$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Refuser | 20c | 977.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 970.33$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 934.93$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.78 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Refuser | 52c | 898.84$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.01 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Refuser | 20c | 801.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 766.71$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team Refuser | 61c | 763.62$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.22 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 746.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.43 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 700.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.41 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 648.52$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.02 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 517.3$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.44 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Team Refuser | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Refuser | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 485.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.02 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Refuser | 60c | 470.21$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.04 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 462.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Refuser | 43c | 441.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 435$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 430.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Team Refuser | 8c | 429.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 428.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Team Refuser | 66c | 408.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 401.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Refuser | 30c | 390.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Refuser | 10c | 385.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Team Refuser | 63c | 368.71$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Refuser | 52c | 353.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Refuser | 53c | 350$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Team Refuser | 56c | 344.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 338.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Refuser | 30c | 332.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Refuser | 56c | 327.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa0…40b3backed Team Refuser | 4c | 325.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Refuser | 25c | 313.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Refuser | 22c | 305.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Refuser | 28c | 301.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Team Refuser | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 298.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.73 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Team Refuser | 54c | 280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Refuser | 38c | 280$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 271.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Refuser | 4c | 269.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 264.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 237.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Refuser | 34c | 219.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Refuser | 40c | 219.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Refuser | 35c | 211.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Team Refuser | 49c | 197.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…7fc0backed Team Refuser | 28c | 179.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 177.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 176.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Team Refuser | 35c | 173.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 169.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 160.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…dba7backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 149.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 146.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…6185backed Team Refuser | 59c | 139.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 136.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Refuser | 20c | 133.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Refuser | 58c | 127.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Refuser | 63c | 126.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Refuser | 80c | 125.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 115.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Team Refuser | 27c | 113.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…2262backed Team Refuser | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 104.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…875abacked Team Refuser | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Team Refuser | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…16d0backed Team Refuser | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 96.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 94.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 90.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…2d76backed Team Refuser | 39c | 88.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 88.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 86.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Team Refuser | 62c | 85.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Refuser | 35c | 83.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.