TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71b9…58a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$830
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$172.75
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.75
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$113.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.49
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$54
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$28.75
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$113.16
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$16.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$22.38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.65
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.