Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7231ee7052f82b51c85f0de3995fba6031c26a832fbf456d62ee3d3f66db836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Aurora, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Aurora | 20c | 100,000$19,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,987.59 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 93,637$74,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,727.4 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Aurora | 70c | 18,400$12,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,921.19 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 17,727$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,624.84 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Aurora | 66c | 12,400$8,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,184 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 10,051$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.97 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 9,550$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.39 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 71c | 9,000$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.97 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 8,193$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.05 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 7,759$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Aurora | 72c | 7,613$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Aurora | 66c | 5,969$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 5,788$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.12 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 5,473$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.49 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 80c | 4,500$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.99 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 4,486$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.82 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 4,222$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.11 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 3,452$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 3,229$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.09 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 3,001$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.99 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 3,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.99 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 2,657$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.23 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Aurora | 74c | 2,354$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.78 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 2,346$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Aurora | 66c | 2,267$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.09 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 2,150$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +253%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Aurora | 73c | 2,099$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.76 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 2,090$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Aurora | 72c | 1,900$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,859$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.82 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 27c | 1,808$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.48 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 73c | 1,700$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Aurora | 19c | 1,600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora | 68c | 1,481$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.03 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,476$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.84 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 66c | 1,439$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,335$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.07 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Aurora | 77c | 1,297$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Aurora | 68c | 1,213$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,212$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Aurora | 70c | 1,200$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 74c | 1,192$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…3d61backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 1,072$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +632.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,010$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.75 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Aurora | 22c | 959.09$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Aurora | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Aurora | 22c | 877.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…1579backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 800$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 788$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Aurora | 66c | 750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 736.03$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Aurora | 68c | 716.37$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 715.11$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.99 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 69c | 694.41$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.54 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Aurora | 68c | 692.86$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 17c | 648.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Aurora | 67c | 647.76$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 74c | 646.53$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 78c | 639.1$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Aurora | 15c | 635.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora | 31c | 610.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Aurora | 16c | 606.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Aurora | 50c | 599.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Aurora | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 523.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.2 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 67c | 516.91$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 514.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 509.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.96 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 480.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Aurora | 43c | 447$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 70c | 425.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 66c | 424.24$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 416$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 414.53$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.53 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Aurora | 70c | 413.37$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 399.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 397.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.95 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aurora | 5c | 397.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 390.86$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Aurora | 66c | 390.83$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.95 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 359.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 350.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Aurora | 66c | 350$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Aurora | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 346.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.01 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Aurora | 68c | 330$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora | 21c | 322.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Aurora | 74c | 313$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8c…500abacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 312.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Aurora | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed Aurora | 70c | 301.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.