Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd819119a070b66f2c3b7136d8b6a2476b1a2d221d9d6757faf9501f1bcf1ca04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Aurora, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 52c | 121,152$63,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,157.55 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 45,133$13,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,096.56 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 33,879$11,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,370.09 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Aurora | 76c | 31,676$24,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,210.56 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 20,387$8,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,916.38 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 72c | 16,530$11,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,845.72 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 9,264$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.05 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Aurora | 64c | 9,059$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.25 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 8,720$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,062.81 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 8,637$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.89 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 50c | 7,929$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.05 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 7,562$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.29 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 7,199$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.64 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 6,568$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 6,401$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.21 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 6,000$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.84 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 5,879$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.97 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 78c | 5,661$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.83 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 5,320$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.39 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 5,043$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 5,027$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.09 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Aurora | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 4,890$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.15 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora | 46c | 4,696$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.37 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 54c | 4,517$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.52 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 4,492$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.21 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 4,137$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.96 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 4,000$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.02 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 3,780$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.4 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 3,776$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.95 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 3,741$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.47 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 3,713$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.58 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 3,540$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.54 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 14c | 3,461$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.74 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Aurora | 60c | 3,355$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 3,069$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.46 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 3,005$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.41 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 2,750$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.34 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Aurora | 53c | 2,584$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.09 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Aurora | 53c | 2,535$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked Aurora | 78c | 2,506$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.68 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Aurora | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 2,409$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.68 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 2,370$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.42 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,313$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.09 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 2,115$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.94 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 2,112$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.67 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 2,004$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.2 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 1,921$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 1,901$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.36 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,829$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.26 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 1,750$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +253%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Aurora | 80c | 1,690$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.85 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 1,676$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Aurora | 53c | 1,657$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.95 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,583$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,558$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.47 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Aurora | 67c | 1,488$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.51 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 40c | 1,466$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.68 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,457$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.86 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,330$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.52 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 1,298$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.23 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 41c | 1,250$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.06 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,209$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.14 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Aurora | 79c | 1,167$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 1,150$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,141$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,125$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.75 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,110$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.3 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Aurora | 52c | 1,098$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,096$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.62 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,080$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,063$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.16 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,062$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.18 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,015$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.84 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Aurora | 64c | 964.16$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.61 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 955.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.4 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 875.26$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 872.58$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.06 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Aurora | 43c | 862$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.66 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 842$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.18 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 836.05$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.38 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora | 80c | 800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Aurora | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 58c | 799.68$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.22 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 774.9$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.62 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 80c | 750.04$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.04 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Aurora | 80c | 750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Aurora | 41c | 733.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 722.24$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.26 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 718.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.29 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd818…3d19backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 687.62$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 671.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 644.45$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.76 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.