Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3030154438c4bf1b1395c404710d3da5eb19429a69fc1f9eb002eaec9711edb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Aurora, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 28,283$8,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,782.75 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 11,687$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,376.84 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 10,000$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.6 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 53c | 9,584$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 8,992$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,528.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 78c | 8,861$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,880.45 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 79c | 8,285$6,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,542.11 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 70c | 8,019$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.91 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 7,562$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.18 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 68c | 7,161$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.75 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 6,740$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.8 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Aurora | 60c | 6,234$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 6,204$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.8 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 5,968$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.48 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 5,842$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.21 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 5,121$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 5,051$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 4,955$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.24 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 4,844$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.28 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Aurora | 70c | 4,306$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Aurora | 59c | 4,050$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.49 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 8c | 4,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 3,810$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.94 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 70c | 3,258$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 3,214$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.05 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 3,110$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 3,109$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.66 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 3,083$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.72 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Aurora | 77c | 3,080$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.58 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Aurora | 79c | 3,000$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Aurora | 78c | 2,821$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 77c | 2,750$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 2,656$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.55 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,603$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Aurora | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 74c | 2,500$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 61c | 2,500$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.99 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 64c | 2,495$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.44 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 2,411$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.01 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Aurora | 80c | 2,400$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.86 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora | 79c | 2,357$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.03 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Aurora | 79c | 2,238$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.01 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Aurora | 79c | 2,160$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Aurora | 49c | 2,120$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.87 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,963$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.94 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…73eabacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,776$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,667$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.58 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,641$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.22 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Aurora | 79c | 1,630$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 1,623$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,552$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.91 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora | 79c | 1,542$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.64 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,501$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.79 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…f5b0backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 1,500$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 20c | 1,394$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,370$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,362$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.68 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora | 20c | 1,285$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.33 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Aurora | 79c | 1,270$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.3 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,260$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,234$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.34 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Aurora | 77c | 1,227$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.48 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 76c | 1,133$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.52 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 79c | 1,125$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.13 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Aurora | 36c | 1,103$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.28 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 79c | 1,060$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.39 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,053$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.4 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Aurora | 35c | 1,047$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,040$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.34 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Aurora | 75c | 1,039$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.45 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,017$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.36 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Aurora | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Aurora | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 987.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.89 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed Aurora | 79c | 976$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 946.65$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.65 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 80c | 933$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 930.68$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.71 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Aurora | 54c | 922.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Aurora | 52c | 907$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.07 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 899$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 869$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.51 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Aurora | 72c | 857.81$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.9 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Aurora | 80c | 850$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Aurora | 78c | 830.55$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…d607backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 828.32$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora | 79c | 812$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.48 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 750$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Aurora | 4c | 748.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 744.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.43 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora | 54c | 741.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 725.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 697$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.51 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.