Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86721817ebe6967e8e774c6dcaa9c51a5333f13db4f30f9814486d36ce7afabf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 75c | 43,636$32,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,749.38 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 70c | 37,127$25,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,166.54 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed OG | 28c | 22,825$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 28c | 22,324$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.98 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 71c | 20,584$14,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.22 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora | 76c | 13,762$10,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.1 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed OG | 24c | 12,205$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 74c | 12,000$8,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.57 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed OG | 24c | 10,178$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.29 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 25c | 9,993$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.3 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 68c | 9,813$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed OG | 32c | 8,917$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 24c | 7,994$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.53 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed OG | 28c | 6,673$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.03 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 32c | 6,593$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.7 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed OG | 30c | 6,397$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.01 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 76c | 5,800$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.25 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed OG | 31c | 5,652$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.06 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 77c | 5,400$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.09 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked OG | 26c | 5,312$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.62 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 26c | 5,202$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.85 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed OG | 28c | 5,094$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.59 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 71c | 5,022$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.39 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed OG | 26c | 4,935$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.03 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked OG | 23c | 4,830$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 27c | 4,563$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.36 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked OG | 34c | 4,500$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 25c | 4,183$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.57 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Aurora | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 75c | 3,985$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.71 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 76c | 3,633$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.5 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 77c | 3,514$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.25 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked OG | 29c | 3,479$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.74 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 29c | 3,451$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.79 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed OG | 11c | 3,324$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OG | 34c | 3,229$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.46 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 76c | 3,147$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.28 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 22c | 3,142$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.59 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked OG | 28c | 2,887$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.64 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 25c | 2,870$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.13 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 27c | 2,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 68c | 2,616$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.98 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.31 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 23c | 2,387$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.95 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 41c | 2,328$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.71 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 62c | 2,281$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.27 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Aurora | 70c | 2,255$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed OG | 26c | 2,139$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.85 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 17c | 2,093$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora | 76c | 2,091$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked OG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 75c | 1,750$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.98 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked OG | 27c | 1,695$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 76c | 1,640$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.08 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed OG | 25c | 1,611$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 31c | 1,581$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OG | 37c | 1,548$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.25 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed OG | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 31c | 1,397$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 77c | 1,315$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 21c | 1,253$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 27c | 1,193$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.06 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 30c | 1,042$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.45 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 26c | 1,029$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed OG | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Aurora | 66c | 999$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.15 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 36c | 994.68$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed OG | 29c | 984.41$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed OG | 29c | 982.75$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Aurora | 71c | 936.17$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.49 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed OG | 27c | 930$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 75c | 913.5$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…cb12backed OG | 28c | 885.32$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 23c | 776.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed OG | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 27c | 742.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed OG | 28c | 709.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora | 71c | 709.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Aurora | 74c | 709.46$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked OG | 28c | 707.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…12d8backed OG | 43c | 696.08$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed OG | 29c | 680.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed OG | 28c | 668.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 56c | 661.93$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.02 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 63c | 643.99$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.69 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked OG | 27c | 625.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Aurora | 77c | 616$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed OG | 23c | 612.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked OG | 28c | 597$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed OG | 31c | 564.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed OG | 28c | 545.34$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Aurora | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed OG | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 21c | 492.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 63c | 479.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Aurora | 77c | 465.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 29c | 465.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.