F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747d3cf9fc0e0dbe9f8ed7e981584b50139e7aef344ccd8780800f1b47c411d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes | 4c | 10,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,466$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,880$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.89 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 7c | 3,100$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 10c | 2,502$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…e5e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Yes | 11c | 2,280$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d720backed Yes | 1c | 2,148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Yes | 5c | 2,047$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,878$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…0a86backed Yes | 4c | 1,785$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,525$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 1,162$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,144$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 8c | 999.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…91b2backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 9c | 999.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 1c | 911.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes | 12c | 841.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 7c | 799.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 6c | 614.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 6c | 562.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 3c | 559$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 18cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…77d0backed Yes | 4c | 541.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 7c | 535.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes | 3c | 499.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 3c | 492.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Yes | 3c | 484.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…a297backed Yes | 7c | 463.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…9adcbacked Yes | 11c | 439.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe637…5bb1backed Yes | 4c | 422$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 419.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 3c | 417.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 6c | 408.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…c5ffbacked Yes | 9c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 3c | 388.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…d6b3backed Yes | 5c | 384.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…aec8backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 4c | 353.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 9c | 350.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 11c | 349.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…c622backed Yes | 4c | 342.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes | 8c | 319.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…efe5backed Yes | 8c | 313.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…48f3backed Yes | 10c | 290.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 5c | 283.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 8c | 138.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…37b4backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…d914backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd6…bc47backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…a6a2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…4947backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…030dbacked Yes | 13c | 89.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.