Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3ccd638f7751565cef24310171b72704375734943b3599a9cca871aafa789a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Auroraof Aurora, Team Falcons
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $446,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $522,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,372 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons	54c	111,462$60,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,000	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons	47c	30,789$14,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,551.4	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora	51c	30,000$15,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,761.82	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora	60c	30,000$18,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,899.97	119	53.8%64 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora	42c	28,000$11,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,240	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora	49c	21,369$10,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,976.34	281	59.8%168 W · 113 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Aurora	42c	20,934$8,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,141.65	226	44.7%101 W · 125 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons	45c	12,044$5,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,389.89	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons	38c	10,820$4,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,162.59	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Team Falcons	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Aurora	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,799.99	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora	53c	10,000$5,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,705.54	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Aurora	58c	9,697$5,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,051.78	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Aurora	54c	9,000$4,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,140	325	49.8%162 W · 163 L	+23.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora	62c	8,579$5,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,261.63	569	55.5%316 W · 253 L	+22.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Aurora	51c	8,109$4,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,997.14	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons	44c	8,000$3,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,559.98	419	44.2%185 W · 234 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora	63c	7,914$4,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,966.08	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons	41c	7,024$2,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,847.22	433	44.8%194 W · 239 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Aurora	53c	6,792$3,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,206.16	614	56%344 W · 270 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Aurora	47c	5,901$2,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,151.68	312	48.4%151 W · 161 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons	47c	5,435$2,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,578.34	290	42.1%122 W · 168 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,900	697	44.6%311 W · 386 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons	41c	4,400$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.99	265	40.8%108 W · 157 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Aurora	62c	4,237$2,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.8	125	57.6%72 W · 53 L	+11.0wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons	35c	4,221$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.59	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Team Falcons	44c	4,202$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,846.21	390	42.1%164 W · 226 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons	37c	4,071$1,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,522.35	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Aurora	56c	4,000$2,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.75	117	53%62 W · 55 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Falcons	41c	3,677$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed Team Falcons	34c	3,459$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons	45c	3,225$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.24	956	42.1%402 W · 554 L	-21.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.99	603	49.9%301 W · 302 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora	58c	2,919$1,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,226.1	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons	32c	2,666$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.9	1,823	45.1%822 W · 1,001 L	+34.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Aurora	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.58	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons	45c	2,249$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.08	137	44.5%61 W · 76 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons	32c	2,131$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.05	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked Aurora	47c	2,096$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.74	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+4.6wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons	10c	2,068$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.54	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons	35c	2,026$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.59	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons	51c	2,001$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.52	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Team Falcons	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Aurora	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora	55c	1,982$1,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.61	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora	54c	1,850$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851	410	55.6%228 W · 182 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Falcons	45c	1,807$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813	277	37.2%103 W · 174 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons	54c	1,800$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972	183	51.9%95 W · 88 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Falcons	53c	1,771$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Team Falcons	29c	1,747$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.72	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Aurora	61c	1,741$1,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.13	413	51.8%214 W · 199 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons	23c	1,722$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.49	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora	53c	1,701$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.7	253	59.3%150 W · 103 L	+15.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons	49c	1,693$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.57	520	46.5%242 W · 278 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora	61c	1,665$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.49	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora	69c	1,656$1,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.23	537	64.4%346 W · 191 L	+26.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Team Falcons	41c	1,588$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.06	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x468c…d7cabacked Aurora	67c	1,503$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.14	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Aurora	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	237	46.8%111 W · 126 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Aurora	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	494	55.1%272 W · 222 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons	36c	1,460$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.54	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Falcons	31c	1,441$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.49	207	40.1%83 W · 124 L	-14.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora	53c	1,415$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.05	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Falcons	6c	1,309$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.27	305	34.4%105 W · 200 L	-14.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons	42c	1,300$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.43	720	35.1%253 W · 467 L	-24.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Team Falcons	43c	1,300$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.99	259	35.5%92 W · 167 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons	52c	1,297$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.38	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41b…36bebacked Team Falcons	38c	1,260$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.2	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora	43c	1,250$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.5	227	27.3%62 W · 165 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons	32c	1,232$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	84	59.5%50 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Falcons	18c	1,200$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Aurora	56c	1,185$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.12	315	47.6%150 W · 165 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Falcons	32c	1,177$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.28	318	35.8%114 W · 204 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons	42c	1,100$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Aurora	42c	1,098$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.65	171	46.2%79 W · 92 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons	26c	1,092$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.92	301	55.5%167 W · 134 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons	42c	1,046$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	134	42.5%57 W · 77 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Aurora	57c	1,042$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.55	228	68%155 W · 73 L	+15.4wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons	37c	1,032$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.37	477	48.6%232 W · 245 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora	75c	1,012$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.21	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Aurora	55c	1,007$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.32	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Falcons	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-24%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Aurora	42c	1,000$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons	34c	999.99$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	363	43.3%157 W · 206 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Aurora	57c	999.98$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.99	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Aurora	51c	979.31$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.15	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked Aurora	54c	924.99$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.5	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora	54c	900$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Aurora	56c	899.99$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396	270	60%162 W · 108 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Team Falcons	45c	899.36$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.31	159	46.5%74 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora	68c	876.88$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.01	169	59.2%100 W · 69 L	+14.8wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked Aurora	53c	860.33$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.53	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons	33c	852.12$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.3	1,707	41.2%704 W · 1,003 L	-43.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons	45c	834$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.3	326	52.1%170 W · 156 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Falcons	7c	799.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	613	2.1%13 W · 600 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Team Falcons	21c	799.98$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons	28c	789.49$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.15	1,461	48.5%709 W · 752 L	+28.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Aurora	57c	787.07$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.44	583	56.8%331 W · 252 L	+28.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4884…1310backed Team Falcons	36c	775.66$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.24	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora won
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event