Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b40e2a66a5a9195f7a006ce058d8d4be5f5b3dc3489f7ae003b7d54021050d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 10,476$5,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.4 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 6,939$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.93 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 6,932$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.78 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 5,009$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 4,702$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 4,701$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.69 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,835$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.61 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 3,544$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.39 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 3,297$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.38 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 3,068$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.85 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 2,426$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.12 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…2690backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 2,351$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,332$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.04 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 2,219$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.33 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,943$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.95 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,637$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.44 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,437$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.71 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 1,150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,070$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.45 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,005$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…e30dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 934.82$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.42 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…218cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 880.56$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 872.89$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.16 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 814.87$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.77 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 734.28$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 690.62$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.86 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 675$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 657.23$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 633$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 602.83$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.59 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 599.11$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 584.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 556.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.47 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 515.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 510.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 340$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 289.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 269.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 261.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 259.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 250.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 237.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 235.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 214.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 201.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 201.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 195.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 189.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 188.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…d2cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 188.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 184.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab7…60a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 168.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 164.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 158.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 156.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 128$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 116.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 101.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 100.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 80.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 70.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 65.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 64.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 59.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…da7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 53.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 46.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 45.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…b40bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 30.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 22.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.