Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3500441b5e6ded8035b2ee7d6d0a999055f6910ef92538613ef37d28228554c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 26,363$19,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.03 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 17,032$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.49 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 11,871$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.79 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 9,308$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 8,000$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 5,411$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.92 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 4,845$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 4,010$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.86 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 3,503$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 3,111$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.27 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,949$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 2,931$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.05 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,277$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.38 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,190$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,178$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 843.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 745.86$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 633.12$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.12 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 553.66$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 484.46$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 475.7$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab7…60a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 437.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 417.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 349.46$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…218cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 327.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…de80backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 268.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 257.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 179.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 172.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 167.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 120.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 89.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 74.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 73.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 55.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 54.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 50.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 47.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 40.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…52e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 34.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…8459backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…3054backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -5.9wins | -0.42per pick | 71cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.